Energy industry trade body chief to head UK’s climate watchdog | Climate Change Committee

The government’s official climate watchdog has appointed the head of the energy industry’s trade association to lead its work helping to drive the UK’s emissions to net zero by 2050.

Emma Pinchbeck, the head of Energy UK, will take up the role of chief executive of the Climate Change Committee (CCC) from early next month after four years at the helm of the trade association.

The former deputy of RenewableUK will replace Chris Stark, who was appointed to lead the government’s “mission control centre” on clean energy, a Covid vaccine-style taskforce aimed at delivering clean and cheaper power by 2030.

Pinchbeck was tapped for the role earlier this year and told the Guardian in August that “change can be quite frightening” for rural communities likely to host renewable energy infrastructure.

Ed Miliband, the energy secretary, said Pinchbeck would join the CCC at “a pivotal point” in the UK’s journey to net zero, halfway through a “decisive decade to halt climate change”.

“Following her leadership at Energy UK, [Pinchbeck] is well placed to advise and challenge government on our net zero goals – ensuring we meet our climate commitments with ambition and urgency,” Miliband said.

He added that Pinchbeck’s “extensive experience” leading the decarbonisation of the energy industry underscores “how the economics of clean energy are now aligned with climate policy, driving both environmental protection and economic growth”.

Pinchbeck was appointed Energy UK’s chief executive in January 2020 months before the Covid-19 pandemic led to record low energy market prices that wiped billions from the market value of major energy companies. The sharp bounceback in energy prices in 2021 caused more than 30 energy suppliers to go bust. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 pushed up energy prices across Europe further and forced the UK government to step in to subsidise bills.

Pinchbeck said: “Energy has moved from the fringes to the very centre of economic policy and I hope that I have played my part in making sure that the importance of our sector and of the energy transition is clear to government.

“I am excited to bring my experience and knowledge of a decade in energy to the challenge of decarbonising our economy at speed with tangible benefits to the people of the UK.”

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Two women kicked off Spirit Airlines flight for wearing crop tops | California

Two southern California women say they were removed from a Spirit Airlines flight last week for wearing crop tops. A flight attendant instructed the friends to disembark their New Orleans-bound flight before the plane could depart from Los Angeles international airport, they told a local news station.

The friends, Tara Kehidi and Teresa Araujo, were wearing sweaters when they boarded the plane, but removed them because the air conditioning was not functioning.

“We were wearing crop tops … just like a little bit of stomach showing,” Kehidi told the ABC news affiliate KABC. When a male flight attendant told her and Araujo to “put something on”, the friend asked: “Can we see a dress code? Like, is there a policy that says we can’t wear crop tops on the plane?”

Another woman sitting in the row in front of Kehidi and Araujo told the station that the temperature on the plane had forced most of its passengers to remove their sweaters.

“I said, ‘Well, if your body is inappropriate, then so is mine because I also have a crop top under my sweater.’ And I took my sweater off and I was like: ‘So if they’re kicking you off the flight, then they’re also going to have to kick me and my toddler off of the flight,’” said Carla Hager, who was traveling with her child.

Kehidi and Araujo ultimately offered to put their sweaters back on, but the three women and Hager’s toddler were all removed from the flight with no refund.

“Everyone in the plane was looking at us,” Araujo said. She said that she and Kehidi felt like they were being “treated like criminals”.

Although the majority of airlines have a dress code, they are often vague and left up to flight attendants to enforce – leading many female passengers to point out sexist differences in that enforcement.

In a statement to KABC, Spirit Airlines said: “Our Contract of Carriage, a document all Guests agree to upon making a reservation with us, includes certain clothing standards for all Guests traveling with us. We are investigating the matter, and we are in contact with the Guests about their experience.”

The airline’s Contract of Carriage says passengers may be asked to leave a flight if they are “inadequately clothed, or whose clothing is lewd, obscene or offensive in nature”.

Kehidi and Araujo ultimately spent $1,000 rebooking on to a Delta flight to New Orleans in order to celebrate Kehidi’s 30th birthday.

They told KABC that they were interested in pursuing legal action against Spirit. The budget airline has a history of headline-making snafus: from putting an unaccompanied minor on the wrong flight to stranding thousands of passengers with cancelled and delayed flights.

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How did Hurricane Milton reach category 5 strength so quickly and when will it make landfall? | Hurricane Milton

The speed which recent hurricanes have been intensifying in strength is alarming climate experts, officials and residents facing these huge storms. More than a million people have been told to evacuate as Florida braces for the arrival of Hurricane Milton this week on the state’s west coast.

Milton is the third fastest-intensifying storm on record in the Atlantic Ocean, the US National Weather Service has said as experts warn the climate crisis is fueling more powerful storms.


How strong has Hurricane Milton grown?

With swathes of the US south still reeling from the disastrous Hurricane Helene, the rapid advance of Hurricane Milton has caught many off guard.

Within barely a day, Milton went from a tropical storm to a category 5 hurricane, the strongest possible rating, with its winds hitting 180mph as it barreled across the Gulf of Mexico toward the heart of Florida.

The storm underwent “rapid intensification”, which is when a storm increases by at least 35mph (56 km/h) over a 24-hour period. Milton’s blistering pace obliterated this benchmark, accelerating by 90mph in around 25 hours, according to the research group Climate Central.

This has created one of strongest hurricanes to ever menace the US, even as Milton eased slightly to a category 4 storm amid mass evacuations of the Tampa area on Tuesday. “This is nothing short of astronomical,” said Noah Bergren, a Florida-based meteorologist. “This hurricane is nearing the mathematical limit of what Earth’s atmosphere over this ocean water can produce.”


How did it get so strong so quickly?

As hurricanes form, their strength is determined by a number of factors such as thunderstorms and wind shear that can disrupt the tight circular organization of the storm.

A key determinant of rapid intensification, though, is the heat content of the ocean and atmosphere. Hotter air and water provides greater energy to a storm, making it spin faster and ladening it with more moisture that is then dumped onto communities in torrents of rainfall, causing flooding.

Crucially, the Gulf of Mexico has been reaching record temperatures for much of this year, with its waters likened to a bathtub over the summer. The core of Milton is passing over some exceptionally warm water, around 3F to 5F (2C to 3C) hotter than average for this time of year. Milton is being turbocharged by excess heat, much like Helene was just two weeks ago.

a graph showing line making a sharp increase and then a drop


What causes such intense storms?

While hurricanes have always formed in this part of the world, scientists are clear that global heating, caused by the burning of fossil fuels, are likely making storms faster, stronger and wetter.

A study published last year found that tropical cyclones in the Atlantic are now around 29% more likely to rapidly intensify compared to the period between 1971 and 1990. Separate research has found that natural variability alone can’t explain the increases in rapidly intensifying storms, pointing to the role of climate change.

Milton joins a growing list of storms that have quickly accelerated into catastrophic, life-changing hurricanes in recent years, such as Hurricane Harvey in 2017, Hurricane Laura in 2020, Hurricane Ida in 2021 and Hurricane Ian in 2022, which underwent two different rounds of rapid intensification. In total, there have been as many category 4 or 5 Atlantic hurricanes hit the US since 2017 as there have been in the prior 57 years.

“We are witnessing a genuinely extraordinary and regionally quite deadly and destructive period for extreme weather in the United States,” said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at UCLA. “And, quite frankly, the fingerprints of the climate [crisis] are all over what has transpired in recent weeks.”


What does this mean for the risks people now face?

For those on the west coast of Florida, a state that has seen its population boom over the past decade, the one-two punch of Helene and Milton is set to be disastrous, requiring months or even years of rebuilding and piecing together shattered lives.

Longer-term, the reach of the climate crisis, including more intense storms, will only increase as global temperatures continue to rise. This means not only more death and destruction but also portends a fundamental shift in where it is considered “safe” to live, as climate impacts hit supposedly benign regions and insurers pull out from covering homes and businesses amid mounting financial losses.

The climate crisis has forced its way onto the US presidential election agenda in the most spectacular, and grim, way possible.


When will Milton make landfall?

Milton is expected to make landfall on Florida’s central Gulf coast late Wednesday. Forecasters said Tuesday that although it will likely fluctuate in intensity, Milton will remain “an extremely dangerous hurricane” through landfall.

As of Tuesday afternoon, Milton was about 520 miles (835km) south-west of Tampa with sustained winds of 155mph (250kph).

Joe Biden, who postponed an overseas trip so he could remain at the White House to monitor Milton, warned that it “could be one of the worst storms in 100 years to hit Florida”.

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Trump administration protected Brett Kavanaugh from full FBI investigation | Brett Kavanaugh

The Trump administration protected Brett Kavanaugh from facing a full FBI investigation in the wake of serious allegations that he sexually assaulted two women – once in high school and once in college – during his controversial 2018 Senate confirmation to become a supreme court justice, according to a new report.

An investigation led by the Democratic senator Sheldon Whitehouse also found that both the Trump White House and the FBI “misled the public and the Senate” about the scope of the investigation it did conduct into the sexual assault allegations by falsely claiming that the FBI had conducted its investigation thoroughly and “by the book”.

Kavanaugh’s confirmation by the Senate seemed to be in doubt after Christine Blasey Ford, a professor at Palo Alto University, alleged he had sexually assaulted her while the two were in high school. A classmate at Yale, named Deborah Ramirez, alleged in a report published by the New Yorker that Kavanaugh had exposed himself at a drunken dormitory party. Kavanaugh denied both allegations.

The Senate judiciary committee agreed after Ford publicly testified about her allegations that the FBI conduct a supplemental background check to examine those allegations before the full Senate voted on his nomination.

In the aftermath of Kavanaugh’s ultimate confirmation by the Senate, in a 50-48 vote, Whitehouse and his staff set out on a six-year investigation to try to find answers about how the FBI conducted its investigation.

The investigation was hampered, Whitehouse said, by executive branch delays, reluctance to answer even basic questions, and often incomplete answers.

“In 2018, I pledged to Christine Blasey Ford that I’d keep digging, for however long it took, and not give up or move on from Senate Republicans and the Trump White House’s shameful confirmation process for Justice Kavanaugh,” Whitehouse said.

“This report shows that the supplemental background investigation was a sham, controlled by the Trump White House, to give political cover to Senate Republicans and put Justice Kavanaugh back on the political track to confirmation.”

The findings are significant because at least eight senators cited the FBI’s findings – that “no corroborating evidence” had been found to back up the allegations against Kavanaugh – when they voted to confirm the justice. They include the then majority leader, Mitch McConnell, Shelley Moore Capito, former senator Jeff Flake and Bob Corker, Chuck Grassley and Susan Collins.

In reality, the Whitehouse report claims the FBI’s limited supplemental background investigation involved only a “handful” of interviews of relevant witnesses, and ignored other potential sources, including Kavanaugh himself, Ford, or others who had offered to give the FBI corroborating or otherwise relevant information.

Ford was not interviewed, the report said, even though her attorney repeatedly contacted the FBI directly to request the FBI interview her.

A lawyer for Ramirez provided lists of suggested witnesses to the FBI, including a list of 20 additional witnesses likely to have relevant information who Ramirez suspected could corroborate her account.

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In one case, a former classmate of Kavanaugh at Yale named Max Stier sought to come forward to report that he had once witnessed Kavanaugh with his pants down at a drunken party, and that his friends pushed the future justice’s penis into the hands of a female student.

The alleged incident was separate from others that became public during the investigation but bore similarities to the allegations made by Ramirez. Stier notified the Senate and the FBI about his account, according to media reports, but the matter was never investigated by the FBI.

The FBI director, Christopher Wray, was even personally notified by Senator Chris Coons of Delaware about Stier’s account but he was never contacted.

Stier, who runs a non-profit in Washington, has declined to discuss the matter with the Guardian. He is married to Florence Pan, who serves as a circuit judge on the US court of appeals, a post formerly held by the supreme court justice Ketanji Brown Jackson.

In response to the release of the report, Debra Katz and Lisa Banks, lawyers for Ford, said in a statement: “Dr Ford performed a heroic act of public service that came at a steep personal cost for her and those close to her. We know today that Trump White House officials acted to hide the truth. They conspired, with the FBI complicit, to silence those who offered important evidence, including one college classmate who ‘saw Mr Kavanaugh with his pants down at a different drunken dorm party, where friends pushed his penis into the hand of a female student.’ We also know that this will likely result in no consequences for those involved, though it should.”

The FBI also declined to pursue information it received through the agency’s tip line. The tips were forwarded directly to the White House.

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Anger and disgust in Mexico over beheading of newly sworn-in city mayor | Mexico

Mexico’s new government has been shaken by the murder of a city mayor who was attacked and beheaded days after taking office.

Alejandro Arcos Catalán was sworn in as the mayor of Chilpancingo, the capital of the southern state of Guerrero, on 30 September, a day before Mexico’s first female president, Claudia Sheinbaum, took power herself.

On Monday, less than a week into her presidency, Sheinbaum confirmed reports that the 43-year-old city leader had been slain the previous day, telling reporters: “All the necessary investigations are taking place.”

Photographs of Arcos Catalán’s bloodied head, exhibited on the roof of a white vehicle while his body lay slumped inside, spread on social media – a terrible reminder of the violence that Mexico’s organised crime conflict has inflicted on the Latin American country.

The mayor’s murder came after two close allies were shot dead in the early days of his short-lived administration. A secretary, Francisco Tapia, was gunned down on 3 October, while Ulises Hernández Martínez, a former special forces police commander who was tipped to become Arcos Catalán’s security chief, was riddled with bullets on the eve of the mayor’s inauguration.

Shocked citizens shared footage of an interview with the mayor before his death in which he said he wished to be remembered as a champion of peace and happiness. “I’ve lived here all my life … and it’s here that I want to die – but I want to die fighting for my city,” Arcos Catalán said.

The murder sparked anger and disgust, with Alejandro Moreno, the president of Arcos Catalán’s party, the Institutional Revolutionary party (PRI), denouncing what he called a grotesque “act of terror”.

Ricardo Anaya, an opposition senator, lamented the “spine-chilling” security situation in Mexico, where more than 450,000 people have been killed since President Felipe Calderón launched his doomed “war” against the drug cartels in 2006.

“The fact that they have decapitated the mayor of such an important city should make us shudder. It is utterly unacceptable and we need to do something to ensure it stops happening,” Anaya told reporters, calling for an immediate change in tack in security policy.

But Sheinbaum has promised to continue the so-called “hugs, not bullets” security policy of her predecessor and mentor, the 70-year-old nationalist Andrés Manuel López Obrador, during her six-year term.

“We will not return to Calderón’s reckless war on the narcos that did our country so much harm. It remains our conviction that security and peace are the fruits of justice,” she told thousands of supporters who packed Mexico City’s Zócalo Square for her historic inauguration last Tuesday.

Although López Obrador claimed to have achieved a modest reduction in Mexico’s murder rate in the later stages of his presidency, there is consensus among security analysts that his attempts to “pacify” the country failed. Last year Mexico suffered more than 30,000 murders. According to the Instituto Igarapé thinktank, Mexico was home to 11 of the world’s 50 most murderous cities in 2023, compared with three in 2015. Chilpancingo was one of them.

Despite that bleak reality, López Obrador, who most Mexicans know simply as Amlo, left office with approval ratings of 70%, largely as a result of his relentless focus on fighting inequality and positioning himself as a champion of the poor.

Aware that tackling violence represents one of her most daunting challenges – and under pressure after Arcos Catalán’s murder – Sheinbaum said she would set out her public security plans on Tuesday.

Another major security crisis is playing out in the north-western city of Culiacán, where an internal conflict within the Sinaloa cartel triggered by the capture of its co-founder Ismael “El Mayo” Zambada García has led to scores of killings.

Sheinbaum’s security drive will be spearheaded by the security minister, Omar García Harfuch, who served as her police chief while she was mayor of Mexico City. García Harfuch has first-hand experience of the dangers of organised crime: in 2020 he came close to death when hitmen ambushed his car on the capital’s best-known street, firing more than 400 times with assault rifles and grenade launchers.

The identity of the killers of the mayor of Chilpancingo remained unclear but in recent years the city has witnessed a bloody squabble between two criminal groups called Los Ardillos (the Squirrels) and Los Tlacos. As often happens in Mexico, local politicians have been implicated in that underworld. Arcos Catalán’s predecessor Norma Otilia Hernández was removed from office after compromising footage emerged showing her talking with a Squirrels boss in a restaurant. Hernández, who was then a member of López Obrador and Sheinbaum’s political movement, Morena, claimed it was a “chance” encounter, but was later expelled from the party.

After his election earlier this year, Arcos Catalán reportedly said he would not do deals or negotiate with criminal groups.

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Earth’s ‘vital signs’ show humanity’s future in balance, say climate experts | Climate crisis

Many of Earth’s “vital signs” have hit record extremes, indicating that “the future of humanity hangs in the balance”, a group of the world’s most senior climate experts have said.

More and more scientists are now looking into the possibility of societal collapse, says the report, which assessed 35 vital signs in 2023 and found that 25 were worse than ever recorded, including carbon dioxide levels and human population. This indicates a “critical and unpredictable new phase of the climate crisis”, it says.

The temperature of Earth’s surface and oceans hit an all-time high, driven by record burning of fossil fuels, the report found. Human population is increasing at a rate of approximately 200,000 people a day and the number of cattle and sheep by 170,000 a day, all adding to record greenhouse gas emissions.

The scientists identified 28 feedback loops, including increasing emissions from melting permafrost, which could help trigger multiple tipping points, such as the collapse of the massive Greenland icecap.

Global heating is driving increasingly deadly extreme weather across the world, they said, including hurricanes in the US and 50C heatwaves in India, with billions of people now exposed to extreme heat.

The scientists said their goal was “to provide clear, evidence-based insights that inspire informed and bold responses from citizens to researchers and world leaders – we just want to act truthfully and tell it like it is.” Decisive, fast action was imperative to limit human suffering, they said, including reducing fossil fuel burning and methane emissions, cutting overconsumption and waste by the rich, and encouraging a switch towards plant-based foods.

“We’re already in the midst of abrupt climate upheaval, which jeopardises life on Earth like nothing humans have ever seen,” said Prof William Ripple, of Oregon State University (OSU), who co-led the group. “Ecological overshoot – taking more than the Earth can safely give – has pushed the planet into climatic conditions more threatening than anything witnessed even by our prehistoric relatives.

“Climate change has already displaced millions of people, with the potential to displace hundreds of millions or even billions. That would likely lead to greater geopolitical instability, possibly even partial societal collapse.”

The assessment, published in the journal Bioscience, says the concentrations of CO2 and methane in the atmosphere are at record levels. Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, 80 times more powerful than CO2 over 20 years, and is emitted by fossil fuel operations, waste dumps, cattle and rice fields.

“The growth rate of methane emissions has been accelerating, which is extremely troubling,” said Dr Christopher Wolf, formerly of OSU, who co-led the team.

Temp anomalies

While wind and solar energy grew by 15% in 2023, the researchers said, coal, oil and gas still dominated. They said there was “stiff resistance from those benefiting financially from the current fossil-fuel based system”.

The report includes the results of a Guardian survey of hundreds of senior climate experts in May, which found that only 6% believed that the internationally agreed limit of 1.5C of warming would be adhered to. “The fact is that avoiding every tenth of a degree of warming is critically important,” the researchers said. “Each tenth places an extra 100 million people into unprecedented hot average temperatures.”

The researchers said global heating was part of a wider crisis that included pollution, the destruction of nature and rising economic inequality. “Climate change is a glaring symptom of a deeper systemic issue: ecological overshoot, [which] is an inherently unstable state that cannot persist indefinitely. As the risk of Earth’s climate system switching to a catastrophic state rises, more and more scientists have begun to research the possibility of societal collapse. Even in the absence of global collapse, climate change could cause many millions of additional deaths by 2050. We need bold, transformative change.”

Ocean temps

Among the policies the scientists recommend for rapid adoption are gradually reducing the human population through empowering education and rights for girls and women; protecting, restoring or rewilding ecosystems; and integrating climate change education into global curriculums to boost awareness and action.

The assessment concludes: “Only through decisive action can we safeguard the natural world, avert profound human suffering and ensure that future generations inherit the livable world they deserve. The future of humanity hangs in the balance.”

The world’s nations will meet at the UN’s Cop29 climate summit in Azerbaijan in November. Ripple said: “It’s imperative that huge progress is made.”

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Harris takes narrow lead over Trump in new poll as swing states still tight – US politics live | US elections 2024

Key events

Trump has called Putin up to seven times since leaving the White House – report

Bob Woodward’s forthcoming book “War” also reveals that Donald Trump kept in touch with Vladimir Putin after his presidency ended, CNN reports.

Citing an aide to the former president, Woodward writes that there have been “maybe as many as seven” between the two since Trump left the White House.

Woodward also uncovers details of a moment from the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, when Trump secretly sent Putin testing machines:

But Putin — who infamously isolated himself over fears of Covid — told Trump on a phone call to keep the delivery of the Abbott machines quiet, Woodward reports.

“Please don’t tell anybody you sent these to me,” Putin said to Trump, according to Woodward.

“I don’t care,” Trump replied. “Fine.”

“No, no,” Putin said. “I don’t want you to tell anybody because people will get mad at you, not me. They don’t care about me.”

Woodward writes that Trump has stayed in touch with Putin after leaving office.

In one scene, Woodward recounts a moment at Mar-a-Lago where Trump tells a senior aide to leave the room so “he could have what he said was a private phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin.”

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New book reveals Biden’s profanity laced comments on world leaders, fears of nuclear war – report

A forthcoming book by investigative journalist Bob Woodward, who has a long history of getting scoops involving US presidents and those around him, documents Joe Biden’s candid, often profane, assessments of world leaders, CNN reports.

“War”, which will be published 15 October, also reveals that US intelligence believed Russia was far more likely to use a nuclear weapon to gain the advantage in Ukraine than previously known.

But before we get into that, here’s who Biden likes to curse about:

  • “That son of a bitch, Bibi Netanyahu, he’s a bad guy. He’s a bad fucking guy!” Biden said earlier this year, as Israel’s invasion of Gaza ground on.

  • “That fucking Putin … Putin is evil. We are dealing with the epitome of evil.” Those were the president’s thoughts, sometime after Russia invaded Ukraine.

The fear of nuclear war spiked in September 2022, when it became clear to Russia that it would not easily triumph in Ukraine. US intelligence, which had learned of Moscow’s invasion plans months before Russian troops crossed the border, believed the likelihood that Vladimir Putin would order the use of a tactical nuclear weapon had spiked to 50%.

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The re-election of Bob Casey is one of the must-win races for Democrats, if they want to keep control of the Senate. He faces Dave McCormick, a Trump-backed candidate who doesn’t agree with everything the former president has to say. Here’s more on the race in a swing state that could decide the election, from the Guardian’s Joan E Greve:

Pennsylvania has come into laser focus in the 2024 election as the must-win state of the presidential election. But further down the ballot is another race in the battleground state – one that could decide whether Democrats are able to hold on to a one-seat majority in the Senate.

With the party bracing to lose a seat in West Virginia and incumbent Jon Tester’s prospects looking grim in Montana, a lot of attention and money is flowing into the Senate race between Democrat Bob Casey and Republican Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania.

Casey, who is seeking a fourth term in the Senate, hopes to turn one of Democrats’ largest vulnerabilities – the cost of living – into a campaign asset. He has focused much of his messaging on rising prices, a primary concern for voters, and the so-called “greedflation” of large corporations. He accuses those companies of gouging consumers during the high inflationary period of Joe Biden’s early presidency and warns that McCormick will not take action to hold them accountable.

But McCormick holds Democrats like Casey and Kamala Harris responsible for those same high prices because of their “wasteful government spending”, and he is betting that voters will, too.

Democrats and Republicans alike appear keenly aware of the importance of the contest, as outside spending groups have dropped tens of millions of dollars into Pennsylvania and prominent members of both parties have traveled to the state for campaign events. Appearing at a recent event alongside Casey in the Philadelphia suburb of Ambler, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts reminded supporters of the high stakes of the race.

“This is what control of the Senate is all about right now,” Warren told supporters. “If [Republicans] win on November 5, they are going to help the rich get richer and let everyone else eat dirt … We are all, as Democrats, in this fight because we will not let them take back the Senate.”

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Biden set to visit key battleground states amid crucial Senate races for Democrats

The US president, Joe Biden, is set to campaign on Tuesday in Pennsylvania for a close ally, the Democratic senator Bob Casey, when he participates in a private campaign fundraiser.

Casey, an incumbent running against Dave McCormick, has a narrow lead in the race in CBS News polling from September.

Biden is also set to travel to Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on Tuesday to discuss his administration’s progress in replacing lead pipes and creating jobs.

Tammy Baldwin, the Democratic Wisconsin senator who was first elected in 2012 on a tide of progressive support, will be conspicuously absent. She is facing Eric Hovde, a real estate mogul and banker, in a critical Senate race for the Democrats.

Baldwin, who has managed to keep a support base among farmers and rural voters, has previously refrained from campaigning with Biden when he made stops in Wisconsin. You can read more about her up-to-now successful electoral coalition here.

Casey’s and Baldwin’s races are seen as must-wins for Democrats who are trying to maintain their razor-tight control of the Senate. As the presidential campaign has played out, Biden has largely stayed on the sidelines as he’s remained a flawed surrogate (in the eyes of many) for Harris and down-ballot Democrats.

Pennsylvania (which narrowly voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and for Biden in 2020) and Wisconsin (which voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020) are both critical swing states that Trump and Kamala Harris are fiercely trying to appeal to.

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Project 2025 would ‘unequivocally’ lead to more hurricane deaths, experts warn

With communities still reeling from Hurricane Helene, one of the deadliest storms ever to hit the US, further pain in the form of Hurricane Milton is about to hit Florida. Experts warn such disasters will be deepened if Donald Trump is elected and follows the policy plans of the controversial rightwing Project 2025 manifesto.

Under Project 2025, authored by numerous former Trump officials but disavowed by the former president himself, the federal forecasting of severe storms and aid given to shattered towns and cities would be drastically scaled back. Emergency management officials say the cuts would severely worsen the outcomes from a storm like Helene.

Project 2025 calls for “breaking up and downsizing” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which it calls a primary component “of the climate change alarm industry”. The agency’s climate research is “harmful to future US prosperity” and should be disbanded, the document says.

You can read the full story by my colleagues Dharna Noor and Oliver Milman here:

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Donal Trump is set to hold a rally in Aurora, Colorado, on Friday, according to a release from his campaign. Trump is due to speak at the Gaylord Rockies Resort & Convention Center at 1pm (MDT). The Republican presidential candidate has repeated the false claim that Venezuelan street gangs have overtaken Aurora, where he has said deportations would begin if he wins the election next month.

Trump has said members of the Venezuelan Tren de Aragua gang have “taken over” apartment complexes and “overrun” the city, a false claim refuted by the Aurora police department.

In the press release announcing his campaign stop in Colorado on Friday, Trump made several references to the gang, adding at the bottom of his statement:

Kamala’s border bloodbath has made every state a border state, leaving Colorado families at the mercy of criminals. The only solution to stop the border crisis is to elect President Trump, who will secure the border, deport dangerous criminals, and Make America Safe Again.

Joe Biden won 55.4% of the vote in Colorado on his way to winning the presidency in 2020, while Trump got 41.9% of the votes in the state, which he is not expected to win this year.

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In a release on its website, the White House said the Biden administration is mobilising additional resources and personnel to prepare for the impacts of Hurricane Milton, and has contacted over 15 local officials in cities and counties in areas that will likely be hit by the storm.

The White House also said the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) has enough money to support disaster relief for both Milton and Hurricane Helene.

Biden yesterday approved Florida governor Ron DeSantis’ request for an emergency declaration, the White House said. This means the federal government will provide additional funding to designated counties, and federal support for emergency responses such as evacuation, sheltering and search and rescue missions.

Tonight, I spoke with Florida Governor DeSantis and Tampa Mayor Castor for firsthand reports on Hurricane Helene recovery and preparations for Hurricane Milton.

My Administration is ready to support both leaders and the people of Florida with any further resources they may need. pic.twitter.com/imXXVXQnoD

— President Biden (@POTUS) October 8, 2024

NBC News reported on Monday that DeSantis, who unsuccessfully sought the GOP nomination earlier this year, was ignoring calls from the US vice president, Kamala Harris, because they “seemed political”. “Kamala was trying to reach out, and we didn’t answer,” the DeSantis aide told the outlet.

“We have to assume this is going to be a monster,” DeSantis told reporters on Monday afternoon, as he warned of a potentially higher storm surge and more power outages from Milton compared to Helene.

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Hurricane Milton delays Washington DC reception between Joe Biden and Irish PM

Joe Biden is expected to receive a briefing from homeland security advisor Liz Sherwood-Randall today as Hurricane Milton heads across the Gulf of Mexico.

Biden is reported to be delaying a reception in Washington DC with the Irish Taoiseach, Simon Harris, to deal with the response to the category 4 hurricane.

The two leaders are still planning to meet in the Oval Office – to mark the centenary of diplomatic relations between Ireland and the US – but the reception in the Rose Garden has been postponed, BBC News reports.

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Officials warn Hurricane Milton poses an ‘extremely serious threat’ to Florida

The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) has warned that Hurricane Milton, expected to bring heavy rainfall and storm surges as high as 15 feet, “poses an extremely serious threat to Florida”.

The densely populated west coast of the state is braced for landfall of the category 4 storm on Wednesday. More than a million people were ordered to evacuate from its path.

The NHC projected the storm was likely to hit near the Tampa Bay metropolitan area, home to more than 3 million people.

Residents of Orange County, Florida, collect sandbagsto protect themselves from Hurricane Milton, which is expected this week. Photograph: Ronaldo Silva/NurPhoto/REX/Shutterstock

It comes days after Hurricane Helene caused devastation and destruction through large swaths of Florida and other parts of the south-east of the US.

The death toll from Helene- which made landfall on the Florida Gulf coast on 26 September – stands at about 230 people, but this is expected to increase.

It then ripped through Georgia and North Carolina, both of which are swing states and essentially must wins for the Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump. Both Trump and the US vice president, Kamala Harris, are targeting these states hard.

A fire rescue vehicle makes its way through a flooded street after Hurricane Helene made landfall in Cedar Key, Florida, on 27 September, 2024. Photograph: Miguel J Rodriguez Carrillo/AFP/Getty Images

The Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) has already had to respond to rife misinformation concerning its response to Helene, amplified on the presidential campaign trail by Trump and some of his supporters.

Trump has falsely accused the US president, Joe Biden, and Harris of favouring migrants over disaster-hit areas. “They stole the Fema money, just like they stole it from a bank, so they could give it to their illegal immigrants that they want to have vote for them this season,” Trump has said.

“Kamala spent all her Fema money, billions of dollars, on housing for illegal immigrants.” Trump added the places worst hit are “largely a Republican area so some people say they did it for that reason”.

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Harris takes narrow lead in NY Times poll over Trump as she embarks on media blitz

Good morning, US politics readers.

The Democratic US vice-president, Kamala Harris, has taken a narrow national lead over her Republican rival, Donald Trump, in the race for the White House, according to the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted between 29 September and 6 October.

It is the first time Harris led Trump in the Times/Siena poll since July, when Joe Biden dramatically dropped out of the presidential race and urged fellow Democrats to support Harris after his disastrous debate performance against Trump on 27 June.

The poll – which surveyed 3,385 likely voters – shows Harris leading Trump by 49% to 46%. In mid-September, after the presidential debate between the two, which Harris was viewed by many to have won, the two candidates were both at 47%.

Here are some other main takeaways from the latest New York Times/Siena College poll:

  • Harris has gained support from Republican voters – 9% said this time round they would support her, an increase from 5% last month.

  • 46% of respondents said Harris, 59, represented change this election, compared to 44% for Trump, 78.

  • 61% of non-white voters see Harris as the change candidate, while 29% view Trump this way.

  • Trump was still viewed by more people as a “strong leader”, though this was by a small amount.

  • Trump is leading among male voters by 11 points. 42% of voters surveyed said they personally benefited from Trump’s policies, when he was president between 2016 and 2020, compared to Biden’s policies.

  • Respondents trusted Trump more than Harris to manage the economy, which 75% of the likely voters described as in a “fair or poor condition”, the same as last month.

  • The percentage of voters holding favorable or unfavorable views of Trump and Harris has not changed since September.

The margin of sampling error among likely voters in the poll was plus or minus 2.4 points for the national poll and about plus or minus five points for each state poll.

Kamala Harris shakes hands with former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during the presidential debate in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on 10 September, 2024. Photograph: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

Despite Harris edging Trump in some polls, the race is essentially deadlocked, both nationally and in so-called battleground states. The victory on 5 November will be decided by the slimmest of margins. In order to appeal to voters in the critical swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), Harris has embarked on a week-long media blitz, appearing largely in front of politically sympathetic interviewers.

Harris has already talked to the CBS News show 60 Minutes, along with the popular podcast Call Her Daddy. In the CBS News interview, Harris was pressed on issues including the Middle East, Ukraine, gun ownership and immigration. Trump was invited on the programme too, but declined to participate in it.

As Ed Pilkington, Guardian US’ chief reporter, notes in this story, on Tuesday Harris hits New York for appearances on ABC News’s daytime behemoth The View and the Howard Stern Show, followed by a recording with the late-night host Stephen Colbert. We will bring you all the latest news from these media appearances as they happen.

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Mountaineers who were stranded in Himalayas describe loss of their gear | Mountaineering

A British mountaineer and her American companion who were stranded in the Himalayas for three days without food have described the long silence between them after the bulk of their equipment plunged into a ravine.

Fay Manners, 37, and Michelle Dvorak, 31, had been climbing the Chaukhamba mountain in northern India, when they issued an SOS message on Thursday, with nothing further being heard from them.

The pair reported that they had lost their tent and climbing equipment after the items were dragged into a ravine by a rockfall.

Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today programme, Manners described the moment their gear vanished.

“There was a big, big, long sense of silence between us,” she said. “There weren’t too many words to begin with, to be honest, it was more just the gaze that we had between us, the look of just disappointment and disbelief.

“I think we were in silence for probably at least two or three minutes before we said anything. I think we both knew what was to come.”

The rescue operation took 80 hours and involved the Indian air force and army, the Indian news agency Ians reported.

Manners, originally from Bedford, told Radio 4 the ledge they were stranded on was big enough only to sit. She said: “It was really small. We could both sit up on the ledge but we couldn’t lay down, so it was a pretty tiny space.

“The hardest thing is we still have other equipment, and so you have to fit both your bodies and your sleeping bag on there, but you also have to fit all your other equipment. And once you’ve already lost a lot of your kit down the mountain, then you get pretty anxious about the rest of the kit that you have as well.”

Dvorak told the programme that a rescue helicopter had initially failed to spot them.

She said: “We were waving around, waving our hands around and hoping to get their attention, but they were just a bit too far away, and we were on a pretty steep and vertical face, and I think everything looked a bit the same to them from their vantage point.”

After two nights in freezing conditions, Manners said the pair decided to abseil to a more accessible point.

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“We’d already had two evenings on the wall where I didn’t have any of my warm clothing because it was in the equipment bag, so I was particularly cold, and I just knew that I couldn’t spend another night pretty much shivering all night.

“So at that point, I was like, we really just have to try and get ourselves out of this situation and go down. I think I prefer to go down without the right equipment and give ourselves some sort of hope of survival, rather than just sit another night and freeze.”

They were reportedly airlifted by an Indian air force helicopter to a helipad at Joshimath, a town 21 miles south-east of Chaukhamba, at 7am local time on Sunday.

A French climbing party assisted with the rescue after the group helped them descend to the altitude from which they were airlifted, according to the air force.

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Fewer than 10 of these orchids remain in the wild. Victoria was about to burn them into extinction | Wild flowers

A critically endangered orchid has received a late reprieve after a local environmental group threatened legal action against the Victorian government, prompting officials to cancel a planned burn of its habitat.

The bald-tip beard orchid – a species with fewer than 10 plants remaining in the Australian wild – was thought extinct until rediscovered in 1968 at a site near Whroo, in central Victoria, where the last surviving wild population has persisted.

That site was included in a 183 hectare area scheduled for controlled burns by state government agency Forest Fire Management Victoria, along with two further burns nearby in areas designated as potential orchid habitat.

But on Tuesday – after questions from Guardian Australia and a legal letter from a local conservation group – a planned fuel reduction burn at the site containing the orchids was officially removed from the schedule.

When asked, Forest Fire Management Victoria did not explain why burns were originally planned in an area containing the last known population of a critically endangered orchid.

Instead, a spokesperson for the agency said specialist staff assessed biodiversity values at each potential burn site and developed plans to protect them.

“We have experts in both fire ecology and threatened species working together to inform how and when we conduct planned burns to minimise any unintended impacts and maximise the benefit to precious threatened species,” they said.

Sue McKinnon, the president of Kinglake Friends of the Forest, said the group’s lawyer had sent a letter on Friday, asking the Victorian environment department to cancel burns in the orchid’s habitat. It stated the group’s intention to seek an urgent interim injunction under the federal Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act.

“We’re determined to save this orchid,” she said, which included taking legal action if required. The orchid’s federal recovery plan said prescribed burning had been excluded from the immediate area of the orchid population since 1980.

The species, listed as critically endangered in Victoria and endangered federally, produced flowers with reddish-brown stripes and a “beard” atop a ruler-length stem.

The consultant ecologist Karl Just, who surveyed the area near Whroo, said the planned burns would have had a “high likelihood of causing a species extinction”.

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The two other locations – including areas mapped as potential orchid habitat – remained part of the fuel management program, scheduled for autumn 2025.

Curtin University’s Prof Kingsley Dixon, who has studied native orchids for about 45 years, said beard orchids were particularly sensitive to disturbance and could vanish quickly.

A precautionary approach and careful science should be applied when dealing with critically endangered orchids, including in relation to planned burns, he said.

Dixon said orchids were the “most treasured and most charismatic” plant family in Australia with the “highest number of threatened species”.

“Excessive clearing, fragmentation, weeds, pests, disease, fire, put them all together and we’ve essentially corralled orchids into ever smaller areas.”

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Tokyo cracks down on ‘kasuhara’ amid rise in customers abusing staff | Japan

Japan is celebrated for its exceptional levels of customer service. But the behaviour of a growing number of customers and clients leaves a lot to be desired.

The rise of the abusive consumer has prompted authorities in Tokyo to introduce the country’s first ordinance – a locally approved regulation – to protect service industry staff from kasuhara – the Japanese abbreviated form of “customer harassment”.

While the Tokyo ordinance, which will go into effect in April, does not carry penalties, experts hope the move will highlight a growing social problem and, perhaps, encourage people to think twice before taking out their frustrations on staff.

A union survey this year found that almost one in two workers in the service sector – which accounts for 75% of employees in Japan – had been subjected to customer meltdowns, ranging from verbal abuse and excessive demands to violence and doxing on social media.

In one instance, an assistant manager at a supermarket in Tokyo received a call from a shopper claiming that the tofu he had bought at the store had gone off, according to the Asahi Shimbun newspaper. When the employee visited the shopper’s home to check, he found that the tofu – a product with a short shelf life – had been bought a fortnight earlier.

Not wanting to alienate the shopper, the employee tried to remain diplomatic but was then ordered by the customer to prostrate himself and apologise.

Outbreaks of rage have crept into local government offices, with one female employee at a Tokyo ward office recounting how an elderly resident accused her of wishing she would die and invited her to drop dead instead.

“It seems that people feel they can say whatever they want when dealing with public servants because they are paying tax,” the official told the Asahi. “ I wish they could understand that employees are human beings too.”

The labour ministry is reportedly considering tightening the law further to address kasuhara across a wide range of sectors, including public transport, restaurants and call centres.

The Tokyo metropolitan assembly approved the ordinance last week under pressure from unions and industry representatives, which warned that the scourge of the disgruntled customer was spreading to other parts of the country.

Three other prefectures are considering similar measures, while some municipalities and firms now give employees the option of displaying only their given names on their ID badges. A Tokyo department store this year said it would ban troublesome customers and call the police in serious cases, while other firms, including Nintendo, have said they will not engage with abusive people.

The ordinance states that “no person shall engage in customer harassment anywhere” and that “society as a whole should try to prevent abuse”, but it recognises the value to businesses of legitimate feedback.

Writing on the Nippon.com website, Hiromi Ikeuchi, a professor of sociology at Kansai University, attributed the rise of kasuhara to several factors, including the tendency to regard customers as “gods” in the battle to stay profitable in an increasingly tough business environment – an approach that has shifted the power balance from firms to their customers.

“As Japanese society as a whole became more consumer-oriented, the tables were turned, giving some consumers an unconscious bias that has caused them to expect to be treated like gods, as well as having certain expectations of staff,” Ikeuchi wrote.

Kasuhara is one of several forms of harassment Japan has been forced to confront in recent years, along with matahara (maternity harassment), pawahara (power harassment) and jenhara (gender harassment).

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