The Georgian president, Salome Zourabichvili, has called the country’s government illegitimate and said she would not leave office when her term ends next month, defying the prime minister as he accused pro-EU opposition forces of plotting revolution.
The South Caucasus country was thrown into crisis on Thursday when the prime minister of the Georgian Dream party, Irakli Kobakhidze, said it was halting EU accession talks for the next four years over what it called “blackmail” of Georgia by the bloc, abruptly reversing a long-standing national goal.
EU membership is overwhelmingly popular in Georgia, which has the aim of joining the bloc enshrined in its constitution, and the sudden freezing of accession talks has triggered large protests in the mountainous country of 3.7 million people.
In an address on Saturday, Zourabichvili, a pro-EU critic of Georgian Dream whose powers are mostly ceremonial, said parliament had no right to elect her successor when her term ends in December, and that she would stay in post.
Zourabichvili and other government critics said a 26 October election, in which Georgian Dream won almost 54% of the vote, was rigged, and that the parliament it elected is illegitimate.
“There is no legitimate parliament and, therefore, an illegitimate parliament cannot elect a new president. Thus, no inauguration can take place, and my mandate continues until a legitimately elected parliament is formed,” she said.
Earlier, Kobakhidze accused opponents of the halt to EU accession of plotting a revolution, along the lines of Ukraine’s 2014 Maidan protest, which ousted a pro-Russian president.
“Some people want a repeat of that scenario in Georgia. But there will be no Maidan in Georgia,” Kobakhidze said.
The country’s interior ministry said on Saturday it had detained 107 people in the capital, Tbilisi, overnight during a protest in which demonstrators built barricades along the central Rustaveli Avenue and hurled fireworks at riot police, who used water cannon and teargas to disperse them.
Georgia’s domestic intelligence agency, the state security service, said “specific political parties” were attempting to “overthrow the government by force”.
Many thousands of protesters were gathering late on Saturday in Tbilisi, building barricades outside parliament where there was a large presence of riot police. Local media reported protests in towns and cities throughout the country.
Hundreds of employees at Georgia’s foreign, defence, justice and education ministries, and at the central bank, have signed open letters condemning the decision to freeze EU accession talks.
Major businesses, including the London-listed banks TBC Bank and Bank of Georgia stated their support for EU accession, while Georgia’s most senior diplomats in Italy and the Netherlands resigned in protest on Saturday, local media reported.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, a star of Georgia’s national football team, spoke out in favour of the protesters.
“My country hurts, my people hurt – it’s painful and emotional to watch the videos that are circulating, stop the violence and aggression! Georgia deserves Europe today more than ever!” Kvaratskhelia wrote on Facebook on Saturday.
Standing outside the parliament building in the capital, where the flags of the EU and Georgia hang side by side, protester Tina Kupreishvili said she wanted Georgia to uphold its constitutional commitment to joining the EU.
“The people of Georgia are trying to protect their constitution, trying to protect their country and the state, and they are trying to tell our government that rule of law means everything,” she told Reuters.
The halt to EU accession caps months of deteriorating relations between Georgian Dream, which has faced allegations of authoritarian and pro-Russian tendencies, and the west.
The party is dominated by Bidzina Ivanishvili, a billionaire ex-prime minister who adopted increasingly anti-western positions in the run-up to the October election.
Both the ruling party and Georgia’s electoral commission say the poll was free and fair. Western countries have called for an investigation into alleged violations.
The EU had already said Georgia’s application was stalled owing to laws against “foreign agents” and LGBTQ+ rights that it has described as draconian and pro-Russian.
Meanwhile, Georgian Dream has started to build ties with neighbouring Russia, from which Georgia gained independence in 1991.
The two countries have no diplomatic ties since a brief war over a Moscow-backed rebel region in 2008 but restored direct flights in 2023, while Moscow lifted visa restrictions on Georgian nationals earlier this year.
âMassive amountsâ of plastic contamination is getting into food and garden waste through user error and misleading âbiodegradableâ labelling, waste industry experts have warned.
Leading figures at some of Australiaâs largest waste companies are calling for the government to standardise certification of compostable products, as many bin liners, compostable coffee cups and other material labelled âcompostableâ or âbiodegradableâ do not break down into organic matter.
The warnings come as states across the country are introducing food and organic waste collection programs in households in an attempt to halve the amount of food waste that ends up in landfill by 2030. In NSW, councils will be required to collect food and organic waste from all households by 2030.
â[There is a] massive amount of plastic that ends up in Fogo [food organics and garden organics] bins ⦠[and] non-biodegradable items that wrongly claim to be compostable,â said Richard Kirkman, CEO and managing director of Veolia ANZ.
âThese materials arenât organic and donât naturally decompose into the ground. Instead, they just contaminate what would otherwise be high-quality compost from genuine Fogo.â Much of the food and garden waste processed in Australiaâs waste sector is turned into compost to be used in agriculture.
Confusion among consumers about the labelling of different products complicated the matter, said Kirkman. According to the Australian Standards for commercial composting, âcompostableâ products must disintegrate after 12 weeks and completely biodegrade after six months in a dedicated composting facility.
âBiodegradableâ products are able to break down into elements found in nature, but not in a specified timeframe, which means the biodegradation process could take years.
âNot all liners on the market meet these standards,â said Kirkman. âAustralians want to do the right thing, but it is virtually impossible to tell which caddy liners should be used. In fact, some liners remain fully intact after 16 weeks of accelerated composting and we have no option but to remove them by hand.â
Kirkman called the âcontamination caused by âcompostableâ bags and kitchen linersâ used in Fogo bins âa nightmare for the industryâ.
Ash Turner, state manager for resource recovery at Cleanaway, says that many of the kitchen liners sold at the supermarket are not compostable and will break down into microplastics that are then ploughed into the soil along with the compost.
âSo theyâll say âbiodegradable compost linerâ ⦠but theyâre not necessarily biodegradable,â he says. They do break down, he says, but adds: âDo they compost and break down into an organic? No, they donât.â
Research by Veolia from earlier this year found that 72% of those surveyed thought compostable single-use coffee cups could be recycled in the yellow bin and 58% thought biodegradable plastic bags could be recycled, when Veolia advises that both items should only be placed in red bins and should end up in landfill.
On top of this, there were challenges around misleading labelling.
In 2023, researchers from the Institute for Sustainable Futures analysed 26 bioplastic products sold in Australia and produced by 14 companies, including plastic bags, coffee pods, postage backs and balloons.
The research found that nearly one-third of sustainability claims about the products were potentially misleading, including that not all that claimed to be compostable were certified to the Australian Standards.
Others used the term âbiodegradableâ for products that are not compostable and may take many years to biodegrade.
Both Kirkman and Turner have said they would like to see the Environment Protection Agency take steps to make it easier for consumers to buy bags they can be confident will compost, and enable those working in the plants to pull non-compostable bags out of the processing lines.
âWeâre working with the EPA,â said Turner. âWeâve asked ⦠that compostable bags be certified in some ridiculous colour ⦠so if you want to make a compostable bag, you have to get certified and youâve got to make it that colour, so either the guys on the line or our optical sorting equipment can be sure [it is compostable] and everything else comes out.â
Kirkman said: âIf Australia was to go down the route of a single, easily identifiable caddy liner, that was certified, council-issued and built to a single national standard, that would be world-beating.â
But Gayle Sloan, CEO of Waste Management Resource Recovery Australia, goes further, advocating for no bin liners at all, saying the simplest solution is to have people put food waste into their kitchen caddy and take that straight to their kerbside bin each day.
âBags complicate it,â she said. âItâs complicated for the consumer because youâre not sure if the bag is what it says it is ⦠Weâre creating waste with the liner. Itâs one less piece of material that we have to use.â
72 min: The ball is played through to Timber, who makes a run to the edge of the box before sending a pass to Havertz, but a deflection takes it away from the strikerâs path and FabiaÅski can claim.
69 min: Another corner for Arsenal and this time Saka is there to take it. He sends a cross in and there appears to be a bit of confusion before West Ham eventually make the clearance.
67 min: Weâre 22 minutes into this second half and no more goals â whatâs going on?!
64 min: A double change for the hosts as Antonio makes way for Danny Ings and VladimÃr Coufal replaces Emerson, who scored arguably the best goal of the game so far.
61 min: There is some concern for Arsenal now as Saka is down with a knock. He receives some treatment from a physio and makes his way over to the sidelines.
Meanwhile, the visitors have a corner. Rice crosses it in with a relatively poor effort, but Paquetá attempts an even worse clearance and sends it behind for another corner. FabiaÅski punches clear the next one.
59 min: I donât know how but Zinchenko has found himself over on the right wing. He plays a pass inside to Ãdegaard on the edge of the box, who goes for goal, but FabiaÅski saves.
57 min: Another change for Arsenal as Oleksandr Zinchenko replaces Calafiori as left-back.
55 min: West Ham break forward as Paquetá is given plenty of space to carry the ball. He passes it through to Antonio, who shoots from the edge of the box and forces Raya into a fingertip save.
52 min: The ball is sent through to Bowen in the centre of attack, whose touch falls slightly away from him. He goes to make a run but Saliba catches him on the shin and West Ham have a free kick. Nothing comes of it, however.
49 min: Saka takes the corner and sends the ball towards the front post, where Calafiori makes a run, but West Ham clear the danger.
48 min: Arsenal look to play forward as Saka receives a pass on the right side of the box. Ãlvarez quicky comes across to make the challenge and sends the ball out for a corner.
47 min: Both teams made a change at the break, with Jakub Kiwior replacing goalscorer Gabriel for Arsenal. Meanwhile, Edson Ãlvarez is on for Summerville.
Kick-off: West Ham 2-5 Arsenal
And just like that, weâre back under way!
John Cox is not convinced about the free kick decision that led to West Hamâs secondâ¦
âWas it me or did that free kick arise from a really terrible decision? Hard to see how Rice could have won the ball more cleanly.â
Tony is taking a moment to consider ex-West Ham manager David Moyes:âSomewhere David Moyes is out there, perhaps relaxing in his most comfortable Chesterfield chair, sipping an irn bru and whisky, watching this game.â
Jeremy Boyce says:âWow! Is Premier League Footie the new NBA? Goals Goals Goals today, and we havenât even started on tomorrowâs fixture list of teams whoâve forgotten how to defend, champions and challengers alike. Goal-less second half ?â
Kári messaged in midway through the first half:âOn the one hand, matches like this is why I fell in love with the game. On the other hand, at 4-0 I was already starting to prepare to make another batch of gingerbread during the second half. Now these biscuits will never get made.â
Then got back in touch when the half-time whistle went:âOkay, now that itâs 5-2 maybe I can risk making a new batch without getting so gripped that I forget the gingerbread in the oven.â
This is the point where I usually try to summarise the first half. But, to be quite honest, I donât know where to start.
It was all Arsenal in the opening 30 minutes, but Mikel Artetaâs side gave West Ham a glimpse at goal late in the half and they took it with both hands. Two goals, two minutes, and everything changes. That late penalty makes things a bit more comfortable for Arsenal â just.
Half-time: West Ham 2-5 Arsenal
And, breatheâ¦
45+7 min: West Ham have another free kick, this time from a bit further out. Emerson steps up to take again and forces a fingertip save from Raya, Nothing comes of the following corner and that should be time.
GOAL! West Ham 2-5 Arsenal (Bukayo Saka, 45+5)
Saka converts the penalty, passing the ball into the bottom-left corner. FabiaÅski got a hand to it, but it was not enough.
PENALTY! Arsenal
Itâs a penalty! After a VAR check, FabiaÅski is booked for accidentally punching Gabriel in the head.
45+2 min: Arsenal have another corner and Gabriel goes for goal but collides with FabiaÅski. This could be a penaltyâ¦
45+1 min: Weâre into five minutes of added timeâ¦
44 min: Amid all the chaos, Saka and Emerson were booked for a clash on the left.
44 min: Despite being 4-2 up, Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta looks incredibly frustrated after giving away those two goals in quick succession. The visitors have to be careful here.
41 min: Rice gives away a free kick in a dangerous position just outside the box. Emerson steps up to take it and fires his strike off the crossbar and into the top-right corner!
I can barely keep up! What a game this has been so far!
GOAL! West Ham 2-4 Arsenal (Emerson, 40)
WHAT. A. HIT! WHAT A GAME!
39 min: Soler picks up the ball in midfield, turns and sends it through to Wan-Bissaka, who passes it into the bottom-right corner!
GOAL! West Ham 1-4 Arsenal (Aaron Wan-Bissaka, 38)
Wan-Bissaka gets one back for the hosts!
36 min: Ãdegaard receives the ball in midfield and sends a stunning pass over to Havertz in attack. Kilman goes to head it away but completely misses the clearance and Havertz takes it down before slotting into the bottom corner.
78 mins. An important lineout steal has Australia back on the ball, but this is ruined by Suaali’iâs inability to not tip the ball on when it comes his way as his slap on goes straight to Ringrose. His unique daring can be disruptive to a defence, but it was never on there and it was stupid to try it. Itâs fortunate that Ireland then knock it on themselves around halfway.
76 mins. Frustration for the visitors as a poor pass from McReight causes Tom Wright to drop the ball forward. How important will that be in a few minutes?
75 mins. Thereâs a lot of lummoxing by both sides at the restart and the ball pings about, but it was an Irish hand that knocked it on first which will give the Wallabies possession in the Ireland half.
TRY! Ireland 22 – 19 Australia (Gus McCarthy)
73 mins. Another Irish lineout close to the line and this time thereâs no mistake made as they go to the tail and sub Gus McCarthy flops over to score.
Crowley adds the two.
Ireland ahead with minutes left.
71 mins. The Ireland pack catch and drive the lineout and heave towards the tryline, but as they topple over it the ball is held up to give a goal-line drop out to Australia. More strong defence from the Wallabies.
70 mins. An Australian hand has a few too many slaps at the ball on the floor and invites Ref Piardi to ping the visitors. Crowley puts the ball in the corner and Ireland will have a lineout not far from the line.
68 mins. Thereâs already a bit more zip in the Irish attack with Casey busier at the base of the ruck. The ball is kicked wide to Hansen but the Wallaby defence crowds him into touch.
66 mins. Cian Healy is on to a cacophonous ovation as he breaks the record for Irish caps.
Ireland have also changed their half-backs, Craig Casey and Jack Crowley on for Gibson-Park and Prendergast.
65 mins. Add a malfunctioning lineout to the list of things Ireland are dealing with as the latest on the Aus 10 metre line is mangled and stolen. The ball is flung left by the visitors but thereâs nothing doing and the ball is kicked away.
PENALTY! Ireland 15 – 19 Australia (Noah Lolesio)
62 mins. Poor discipline and a troubled attack is not a great cocktail for Ireland. Lolesio is delighted with the former, however, and hammers a kick over from 45 metres out after the home side are clumsy at the breakdown.
60 mins. They may very well win this game eventually, but Irelandâs attack is a bit of a lumpen mess at the minute; all pedestrian passing and no-one really hitting the line at pace. The latest has Prendergast running out of options and putting a nothing kick up for Lolesio to mark, then the next ends with another kick from the Irish youngster, this one much better but Lolesio just about manages to mark it under intense pressure.
58 mins. Ireland have a lot of ball in the Australian half and itâs again tidy enough without having any real penetration which eventually forces Prendergast into a cross-kick, this time to Hansen. Thereâs a few more phases before it peters out.
PENALTY! Ireland 15 – 16 Australia (Noah Lolesio)
54 mins. There are some meaningful phases from the visitors and just as in the first half minimal territory gleans consistent points, this time after Doris is penalised in the ruck.
52 mins. Australia look to have a decent platform in the Ireland half after possession at the scrum, but the creeping issues of not being able to secure the ball at the breakdown has them losing it. The home side try to run it clear but have some breakdown issues of their own and give possession back to the Wallabies.
TRY! Ireland 15 – 13 Australia (Caelan Doris)
50 mins. Prendergast finds the corner with the penalty, the ball is won and three phases later the Ireland captain is crashing over the line under the posts.
The conversion is good and Ireland are ahead for the first time!
48 mins. Lots of Ireland phases off the lineout, but Australia are putting no-one into the the ruck and fanning out to cover the attacking patterns the home side are running. This is doing the job of slowing the forward motion, but there is some poor discipline in the tackle again from the Wallabies.
46 mins. Prendergast bunts a low cross-kick to Lowe who is running free, but his lack of pace means he canât get away from the cover as he heads into the 22. A few phases of again impressive gold defence eventually dislodges the ball and Gordon can boot it clear to touch.
45 mins. Australia looks tidy as they move the ball through hands, but itâs a little too laboured and very well read by Hansen who shoots up in the 13 channel to disrupt Ikitau, drive the possession backwards and win it back for Ireland in the Wallaby half.
PENALTY! Ireland 8 – 13 Australia (Sam Prendergast)
42 mins. The home side have the first meaningful set of phases of the half, with Prendergast busily bringing runners on in the Australia half. The pressure on the Wallaby defence tells as McReight infringes at the breakdown, awarding a penalty that Prendergast slots from 35 metres.
Second Half!
Weâre back in play via a deep Lolesio kick.
This is an odd scoreline so far as Ireland look the better team in all the traditional measures; with 51% of the first half being played in the Australian 22 and their superiority in the scrum two examples of the home sideâs relative dominance. But itâs the Wallabiesâ superior cutting edge and energetic defending, alloyed with Ireland coughing up the ball through handling errors, that has them eight points up.
Logic dictates that Ireland will pull themselves back into this, but Australia have defied logic on this tour a few times and it may not be beyond them here, either.
Half time! Ireland 5 – 13 Australia
40 mins. Ireland can do nothing with it other than a few phases up the left that eventually allows the Wallaby defence to bundle Lowe into touch.
39 mins. The ball is fumbled by Australia and at the resulting scrum the gold pack crumples like an egg box to give a penalty to Ireland. The home side win possession from the lineout in Aus territory.
38 mins. Clock was off for a bit while there was another Law & Order style investigation by the TMO, this time for Bealham falling into Kellawayâs legs after heâd kicked the ball. Ref Piardi decides itâs only a penalty, meaning Australia will have possession where the ball landed back in the Ireland half.
37 mins. Irelandâs 5m lineout is a mess and is stolen then worked to Wright to punt it clear.
35 mins. Tadhg Beirne wins an impressive turnover by hammering a dithering Gordon at back of ruck, which allows Prendergast to boom the ball into touch close to the Wallaby line after the visitors are off their feet at the ruck.
PENALTY! Ireland 5 – 13 Australia (Noah Lolesio)
33 mins. After that insane few minutes, Lolesio decides to reduce the nonsense quotient by 95% and kicks three points.
32 mins. The greatest sight in rugby occurs as an intercept by Tupou sets the prop running into open pasture for 25 metres before Prendergast reels him in and catches him. Suaaliâi was screaming for it on the left but Tupou was clearly not interested in a pass of that length on the run and opted instead to throw it backwards over his head without looking!
Prendergast nicks it, but Ireland were then offside at the ruck.
30 mins. Australia read what I last posted and decided I needed putting in my place as a short pass to McReight on the angle set the backrow running free into the Ireland half. The ball is recycled but the pace is lost which allows the home side to scramble and frustrate the attack.
29 mins. Fraser McReight clamps on a ball at the breakdown in the 22 after Ireland have some busy passing and offloading phases from the home side. The second quarter has so far been Irelandâs and even though that attack was thwarted there feels an inevitability about the men in green scoring again soon.
26 mins. Ireland continue to grind their way back into this game, this time with a quick tap from the scrum free kick award. Prendergast executes a nostalgic Sextonesque runaround to feed Hansen but the gold defence cover it well before the ball comes all the way back to Lowe on the left who throws a forced pass into touch.
TRY! Ireland 5 – 10 Australia (Josh Van Der Flier)
23 mins. Prendergast fires it into the corner and from the lineout Ireland pile into the Australian five metre zone. Itâs big carry after bigger carry before Van Der Flier forces over to open the Irish account.
Prendergast pulls the conversion wide.
21 mins. Rob Valentini is in trouble as he fumbles a kick-off backwards and as he turns and runs he lifts his forearm into the throat area of the chasing Hansen. The TMO wants the ref to have a look, and he decides the contact was more on the body than the neck so penalty only.
At least Ref Piardi is equally applying his lenient decisions so farâ¦.
TRY! Ireland 0 – 10 Australia (Max Jorgensen)
19 mins. The ball is back with Australia allowing Lolesio to boot the ball high for the flying menace Suaalii to win it back in the Ireland 22; heâs a total nightmare for any defence in that situation. The ball is worked right where a great tackle by Prendergast stops Kellaway near the line, but the Wallabies work it all the way left through hands for Jorgensen to dive over in the corner.
Loleso slots a great conversion from out wide.
17 mins. Australia are getting the ball moving through their hands in the Irish half. There are a few glimpses of breaking the green tackle line, but none are fully realised before the ball is kicked away.
14 mins. A tidy first phase pattern from Ireland nearly does enough to bust the Aussie line, but it eventually loses momentum which is a cue for the always thinking Gibson-Park to drive an angled kick bouncing into touch deep in Wallaby territory. Superb tactical stuff from the scrum-half.
12 mins. A Bealham knock-on, his second of the game under no pressure, halts another Ireland attack and the ball is cleared after Gordon digs it out of a retreating gold scrum. Itâs early days, but the Wallaby set-piece is already creaking.
PENALTY! Ireland 0 – 3 Australia (Noah Lolesio)
9 mins. While I was on my soapbox, Lolesio called for the tee and put Australia in front.
Time is off while the TMO has a look at a head-on-head after Joe McCarthy went in high on Valetini. Ref Piardi takes a look and says it was low level of danger and penalty only.
This appears mainly due to the fact McCarthy went backwards after hitting Valetini, so essentially itâs not a card because the Irish lock isnât strong enough, ignoring the fact his tackle technique was always going down-to-up and that is what the protocols are meant to discourage.
8 mins. Valetini flies through the lineout to yoink the ball away before the tap down from Ryan can reach Gibson-Park; a magnificent bit of larceny from the Australian. This puts the visitors on the attack in the Irish half
6 mins. It takes a while to complete the Irish scrum just outside the Wallaby 22, which in the end results in a free kick to the home team. The ball is tapped quickly by Gibson-Park and a tidy pass from Prendergast finds Keenan on the gallop up to the line, but Kellaway rattles the ball out in the covering tackle to deny the fullback. Knock-on, and Australia clear from the scrum.
2 mins. Australia receive the ball and set about their usual few phases of putting it through hands which results in approximately 0.25 metres being made and so Lolesio decides to punt it clear. The ball doesnât reach touch and Ireland have a few phases of their own that come to a close after a Prendergast grubber is fumbled forward on the 22 by the covering Lolesio.
Kick Off!
Young Sam Prendergast boots us into action.
The teams are out for the anthems on a crazily balmy winter day in western Europe as temperatures hover around 15 degress celcius. Should make for a decent spectacle as it always helps when you can feel your hands when playing.
Much chat about Cian Healy in the build up on the occasion of him breaking the all-time caps record for Ireland, moving to 134, one clear of Brian OâDriscollâs previous total. That number of appearances of this level is impressive enough without having to do it as a prop.
Pre match reading
You can get in touch with me up to and throughout the game via email, where I am happy to receive all correspondence on any subject.
Teams
Andy Farrell makes the bold and in some quarters rage inducing selection of Sam Prendergast at out-half ahead of recent incumbent, Jack Crowley.
For Australia, Joseph Suaaliâi starts after his wrist injury turned out not to be a serious as feared. In the forwards, James Slipper and Taniela return as the starting props.
Ireland: Hugo Keenan; Mack Hansen, Robbie Henshaw, Bundee Aki; James Lowe; Sam Prendergast, Jamison Gibson-Park; Andrew Porter, Rónan Kelleher, Finlay Bealham; Joe McCarthy, James Ryan; Tadhg Beirne, Josh van der Flier, Caelan Doris (capt).
Replacements: Gus McCarthy, Cian Healy, Tom OâToole, Iain Henderson, Peter OâMahony, Craig Casey, Jack Crowley, Garry Ringrose.
Australia: Tom Wright; Andrew Kellaway, Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, Len Ikitau, Max Jorgensen; Noah Lolesio, Jake Gordon; James Slipper, Brandon Paenga-Amosa, Taniela Tupou, Nick Frost, Jeremy Williams; Rob Valetini, Fraser McReight, Harry Wilson (capt)
Replacements: Billy Pollard, Angus Bell, Allan Alaalatoa, Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, Langi Gleeson, Tate McDermott, Tane Edmed, Harry Potter.
Preamble
Welcome the final chapter of the Autumn Internationals series as Ireland take on Australia in Dublin.
It’s often a mixed bag of emotions meeting up with your old boss, so this must be strange day for Andy Farrell. Sure, he learned quite a bit from Joe Schmidt (patterns, dear boy) and admired his leadership, but there was also the nagging feeling that he wanted the Kiwi to sod off because the northerner quite fancied the big chair for himself. Then he dismantled some of Schmidtâs previous work â the Ireland career of now World Cup winning lock Jean Kleyn , for example â and took the team to new heights. All of this will be just below the surface when Farrell offers an awkward âalreet, Joe?â prior to kick-off for this match between two teams at adjacent points on the team development bell curve.
Australia arrive after a chastening, reality chomping defeat in Edinburgh with the knowledge that this is all work in progress as they look to push the boulder up the gradient of continuous improvement. Progress picked up pace early in the month, today is a chance to gather some more before their season ends.
Ireland remain in a strange place where reality and vibes are making a clanging, dissonant noise when brought together, like a decent day out soundtracked by any form of jazz ad thus ruined. The reality is that they have lost one game at home in the past 22 outings, are Six Nations champions and remain one of the best teams on the planet. The vibes could not be more different, however, as all the talk and mood dwells on an ageing squad, a difficult transition period, Munster/Leinster daggers among the fans and the head coach about to disappear on Lions duty. The squad need to put the Wallabies down in a similarly emphatic way to Scotland if the ambience is to improve two months out from the Six Nations.
The World Beekeeping Awards will not award a prize for honey next year after warnings of widespread fraud in the global supply chain.
Apimondia, the International Federation of Beekeepersâ Associations, says it will showcase honey from around the world at its congress in Denmark, but for the first time make no awards for the product.
The decision came as beekeepers and importers face a mounting crisis over the scale of fraud, with warnings that genuine products are bulked out with cheaper sugar syrup. Some common tests to detect fraud can easily be defeated, and beekeepers say there has been a failure by food watchdogs and the industry to combat the fraudsters.
Apimondia said in a statement: âWe will celebrate honey in many ways at the congress, but honey will no longer be a category, and thus no honey judging, in the World Beekeeping Awards. This change to remove honey as a category was necessitated by the inability to have honey fully tested for adulteration.â
The awards are typically held every two years at the congress, attended by thousands of beekeepers, scientists and industry representatives. Dozens of entries in recent honey competitions have been rejected because adulteration was suspected.
About 45% of honeys were rejected at the awards in Montreal in 2019 for a variety of reasons, including suspected adulteration. At the Istanbul congress in 2022, 39 out of 145 honeys were withdrawn for suspected adulteration. The awards also has other categories, which will still be judged at next yearâs competition, including beeswax, mead, innovation and publications.
Jeff Pettis, the federationâs president, says the first laboratory tests for honey were introduced for the 2019 awards. Honeys which were excluded were replaced with a card stating: âThis exhibit has failed laboratory analysis and cannot be judged further.â
There were logistical challenges for the competition in authenticating entries and in border controls, he said. The Copenhagen congress in September 2025 would highlight the damage being done to beekeepers around the world by fraud.
He said: âWe are continuing to fight for improvements to the testing. We want the public to know that local honey is much less likely to be adulterated. The beekeepers get their name on it and can stand behind it.â
He said there was widespread adulteration in cheaper commercial honeys. The fraud can occur at any point of the supply chain, with many importers and retailers unwittingly trading in fake honey.
An EU investigation published last year found 46% of imported sampled products were suspected to be fraudulent, including all 10 from the UK. Samples used in October by the UK branch of the Honey Authenticity Network for a novel form of DNA testing found that 24 out of 25 jars from big UK retailers were suspicious.
China is the worldâs biggest producer of honey, but experts say it can be fraudulently blended with cheaper sugar syrup. The UK is the worldâs biggest importer of Chinese honey, with more than 39,000 tons imported last year.
Bernhard Heuvel, president of the European Professional Beekeepers Association, said there was overwhelming evidence of fraud in the supply chain. âItâs just unbelievable if the world organisation for all beekeepers cannot guarantee the authenticity of honey. The scale of this fraud is huge.â
Dale Gibson, co-founder of Bermondsey Street Bees, which has hives in and around London, said the UK should require importers to label the country of origin on all honey, including blends. He said: âWe have to give consumers information at the point of sale that they can act on.â
Importers in the UK have rejected as unreliable the hundreds of tests commissioned by campaigners and investigators on British-sold honey that suggested adulteration. Regulators in the UK have not published detailed results of official tests, but rejected claims of significant fraud.
An assessment of food crime published by the Food Standards Agency (FSA) in September said it was âunlikely that adulterated honey is broadly present on the UK marketâ, but recognised the âcomplexitiesâ in making the judgment.
Enid Brown, director of the World Beekeeping Awards, said: âThe UK government needs to wake up to this problem of adulteration of imported honey. Until the government starts official tests on honey and publishing the results, we are never going to win.â
A spokesperson for the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) said: âWe take any type of food fraud very seriously. There is no place for adulterated honey which undermines consumer confidence and disadvantages responsible businesses acting within the law.
âWe work closely with enforcement authorities to ensure that honey sold in the UK is not subject to adulteration, meets our high standards, and maintains a level playing field between honey producers.â
Andrew Quinn, head of the FSAâs National Food Crime Unit, said: âWe are working closely with Defra and other government colleagues to develop conclusive testing that will be able to establish the authenticity of honey on sale.â
New research aimed at identifying which US neighborhoods face increased exposure to toxic PFAS “forever chemicals” found those living near “superfund” sites and other major industrial polluters, or in areas with limited access to fresh food, generally have higher levels of the dangerous compounds in their blood.
The study looked at hundreds of people living in southern California and found those who do not live within a half mile of a grocery store have 14% higher levels of PFOA and PFOS – two common PFAS compounds – in their blood than those who do.
Meanwhile, those who live within three miles of a superfund site – a location contaminated with hazardous substances – have up to 107% higher levels of some compounds, and people who live near a facility known to use PFAS showed significantly higher blood levels.
The findings highlight how the built environment in low-income neighborhoods presents multiple PFAS exposure routes, said Sherlock Li, a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Southern California. The solutions are not easy, he added.
“It’s a difficult question because you can’t tell people to just move or to buy air filters and water filters and eat healthy food,” Li said. “We’re hoping the government will see the analysis and take action … because it’s more cost effective to reduce pollution at the source.”
PFAS are a class of about 15,000 compounds typically used to make products that resist water, stains and heat. They are called “forever chemicals” because they do not naturally break down and accumulate, and are linked to cancer, kidney disease, liver problems, immune disorders, birth defects and other serious health problems.
The study also found people who live in neighborhoods with water contaminated with PFAS have 70% higher blood levels of PFOS and PFOA, though there was no correlation among some other compounds.
Researchers say diet is likely a contributing factor to the higher levels in neighborhoods with limited fresh food access. Previous research has found processed and fast foods that are more accessible in these neighborhoods generally contain higher levels of PFAS – the chemicals are commonly added to resist moisture and grease in fast food wrappers and carryout containers. Conversely, eating a diet with more fresh foods may help lower PFAS blood levels.
Though the Food and Drug Administration announced last year that PFAS compounds were no longer approved for use in paper food packaging produced in the US, the chemicals could be on imported wrappers, or in plastic containers.
Packaging is among the “key sources” of elevated levels in the neighborhoods, Li said, but the solution is in part structural – improving access to fresh foods with more grocery stores or community gardens will also have a benefit of lowering PFAS levels.
Some study participants lived near several former Air Force bases and a metal plating facility that are now superfund sites contaminated with PFAS.
The link between groundwater at the site and drinking water was weak, and the authors hypothesize that the higher PFAS blood levels around superfund sites and industrial facilities that use the chemicals largely stems from air pollution. PFAS can be volatile, meaning it lifts into the air from a polluted area, or can get on dust, then is breathed in or ingested.
“We need to be more holistic to reduce water, food, soil air exposure – all of them,” Li said.
Zelenskyy proposes reclaiming lost Ukrainian territory diplomatically
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has suggested that Ukrainian territory under his control should be taken under the “Nato umbrella” to try to stop the “hot stage” of the war with Russia.
Speaking to Sky News, the Ukrainian president said that such a proposal has “never been considered” by Ukraine because it has never “officially” been offered.
Speaking via a translation, Zelenskyy said: “If we want to stop the hot stage of the war, we should take under Nato umbrella the territory of Ukraine that we have under our control. That’s what we need to do fast, and then Ukraine can get back the other part of its territory diplomatically.
“This proposal has never been considered by Ukraine because no one has ever offered that to us officially.”
In the same interview, Zelenskyy also said that any invitation should be given “within its internationally recognised border, you can’t give invitation to just one part of a country”.
Key events
Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk traveled Saturday to his country’s border with the Russian region of Kaliningrad to inspect progress in the construction of military fortifications along the eastern frontier, calling it “an investment in peace.”
“The better the Polish border is guarded, the more difficult it is to access for those with bad intentions,” Tusk said at a news conference near the village of Dabrowka as he stood in front of concrete anti-tank barriers.
“Everything we are doing here – and we will also be doing this on the border with Belarus and Ukraine – is to deter and discourage a potential aggressor, which is why it is truly an investment in peace,” Tusk said. “We will spend billions of zlotys on this, but right now the whole of Europe is observing these investments and our actions with great satisfaction and will support them if necessary.”
He said he wants Poles “to feel safer along the entire length of the eastern border.” Tusk also said the fortifications would include Poland’s border with Ukraine, a close ally, but did not elaborate.
Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, has suggested that the war in his country could end without totally taking back territories occupied by Russia under Kyiv’s control. Zelenskyy suggested that land controlled by the Ukrainian army could be taken under the Nato umbrella to end the ‘hot war’, and then diplomacy used to regain the remainder.
Ukraine has asked Latin American parliamentarians and diplomats to assist in its defence in the war with Russia.
Representatives of Argentina, Belize, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Panama, El Salvador, Ecuador, Peru, and Costa Rica arrived in Kyiv for a meeting with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, pictures show.
The President urged them to join the peace process – according to Ukraine – work together to facilitate the return of illegally deported Ukrainian children, address food security issues and help Ukraine recover from shelling.
“These are not weapons issues; these are other issues. These are issues of people having something to eat, something to feed their children, something to cook, electricity to keep them warm at night. Especially now, in winter,” Zelenskyy emphasized.
He called the visit of the Latin American delegation to Kyiv important for “countering Russian disinformation”. Zelenskyy urged them to share their experiences and impressions and create platforms that would facilitate the exchange of reliable data on the Ukrainians’ struggle against Russian aggression.
Ukranian political analysts have argued Donald Trump’s choice of special envoy for Ukraine and Russia is “acceptable for Ukraine”.
Trump announced this week he would appoint Keith Kellogg – who was the chief of staff of the National Security Council from 2017 to 2018 and national security advisor to Vice President Mike Pence from 2018 to 2021 – to the role.
“There will be no (outright) pro-Ukrainian appointments (under Trump),” Ukrainian political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko told the Kyiv Independent. “But it’s good if an appointee is not anti-Ukrainian.”
“From this standpoint, if you compare (Kellogg) with others, he’s absolutely acceptable for Ukraine,” Fesenko added. “His position is understandable (for Kyiv), and we can adapt to it.”
Ukraine’s Defence Ministry claims Russia has suffered an additional 1,740 combat losses.
Publishing a graphic today which shows Ukraine’s estimate of Russia’s combat losses from February 24, 2022 to November 30, 2024, the ministry states Russia’s losses include 72 vehicles and fuel tanks, 42 drones and 23 artillery systems.
Ukraine claims Russia has lost 740,400 personnel in total, with almost half of that figure accounted for by lost vehicles and fuel tanks.
Russian defence minister Andrei Belousov has said on a visit to Pyongyang, North Korea, that cooperation between the two countries is growing “in all areas” while Kim Jong-un vows North will “invariably support” Moscow’s war.
Read our explainer here for what we know on day 1,011:
Peter Ricketts, a former UK national security adviser, warned that Putin coming out of Ukraine with “what feels like a win” would be very risky for the UK.
Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today Programme, he agreed with Richard Moore, the head of MI6, that it was currently the most dangerous moment in national security due to the “sheer number of simultaneous threats and crises” the UK is facing.
“Putin is now feeling increasingly reckless”, Ricketts said. “There used to be during the cold war and afterwards kind of unwritten rules of the road between the major powers to stop them from colliding together.
“Now Putin is being staggeringly reckless in the way he continues to expand what he sees as a war on the West now.
“He sees no boundaries and therefore the risk that Putin coming out with what feels like a win from the war in Ukraine would be very risky”, he added. “We will be faced with a larger bill later for trying to contain a rampant Russia.”
The head of MI6 has warned in a speech yesterday – that amounted to a plea to Donald Trump to continue supporting Kyiv – that abandoning Ukraine would jeopardise British, European and American security and lead to “infinitely higher” costs in the long term.
Richard Moore, giving a rare speech, said he believed Vladimir Putin “would not stop” at Ukraine if he was allowed to subjugate it in any peace talks involving the incoming US Republican administration. “If Putin is allowed to succeed in reducing Ukraine to a vassal state, he will not stop there. Our security – British, French, European and transatlantic – will be jeopardised,” Moore said during an address given in Paris alongside his French counterpart.
“The cost of supporting Ukraine is well known,” said Moore. “But the cost of not doing so would be infinitely higher. If Putin succeeds, China would weigh the implications, North Korea would be emboldened and Iran would become still more dangerous.”
“For decades the US-UK intelligence alliance has made our societies safer; I worked successfully with the first Trump administration to advance our shared security and look forward to doing so again,” Moore told his audience at the UK embassy, a short walk from the Élysée Palace, the official home of the French president.
Zelenskyy proposes reclaiming lost Ukrainian territory diplomatically
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has suggested that Ukrainian territory under his control should be taken under the “Nato umbrella” to try to stop the “hot stage” of the war with Russia.
Speaking to Sky News, the Ukrainian president said that such a proposal has “never been considered” by Ukraine because it has never “officially” been offered.
Speaking via a translation, Zelenskyy said: “If we want to stop the hot stage of the war, we should take under Nato umbrella the territory of Ukraine that we have under our control. That’s what we need to do fast, and then Ukraine can get back the other part of its territory diplomatically.
“This proposal has never been considered by Ukraine because no one has ever offered that to us officially.”
In the same interview, Zelenskyy also said that any invitation should be given “within its internationally recognised border, you can’t give invitation to just one part of a country”.
Opening summary
Welcome to our continuing coverage of Russia’s war on Ukraine. Here’s an overview of the latest news.
North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, vowed his country will “invariably support” Russia’s war in Ukraine as he met Russia’s defence minister and they agreed to boost military cooperation between the two countries, the North’s state media reported on Saturday.
A Russian military delegation led by the defence minister, Andrei Belousov, arrived in North Korea on Friday amid growing international concern about the countries’ expanding cooperation after Pyongyang sent thousands of troops to Russia last month.
Kim and Belousov reached a consensus on boosting strategic partnership and defending each country’s sovereignty and security interests, the Associated Press cited the official Korean Central News Agency as saying. Kim said North Korea “will invariably support the policy of the Russian Federation to defend its sovereignty and territorial integrity”, KCNA said.
Belousov said Moscow-Pyongyang ties were “actively expanding in all areas, including military cooperation”, Russian news agencies reported.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andrii Sybiha, has urged his Nato counterparts to issue an invitation to Kyiv at a meeting in Brussels next week to join the western military alliance, according to a letter seen by Reuters on Friday.
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has suggested that Ukrainian territory under his control should be taken under the “Nato umbrella” to try to stop the “hot stage” of the war with Russia. He told Sky News that such a proposal had “never been considered” by Kyiv because it had never “officially” been offered.
In other developments:
Abandoning Ukraine would jeopardise British, European and US security and lead to “infinitely higher” costs in the long term, the head of MI6 warned in a speech that amounted to a plea to US president-elect Donald Trump to continue supporting Kyiv. Richard Moore said he believed the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, “would not stop” at Ukraine if he was allowed to subjugate it in any peace talks involving the incoming US Republican administration.
Moore accused Russia of waging a “staggeringly reckless campaign” of sabotage in Europe while also stepping up its nuclear sabre-rattling to scare other countries off from backing Ukraine. “Our security – British, French, European and transatlantic – will be jeopardised,” he said during an address in Paris alongside his French counterpart.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy appointed Maj Gen Mykhailo Drapatyi as the new commander of Ukraine’s land forces. “The Ukrainian army needs internal changes to achieve our state’s goals in full,” the Ukrainian president said on Telegram on Friday.
The French president vowed to give Ukraine intensive support in its battle against Russia’s “escalation” of its invasion, his office said. Emmanuel Macron condemned Russia’s “indiscriminate” strikes against Ukraine’s cities and power infrastructure in a phone call with Zelenskyy on Friday, the Élysée Palace said. France has said Ukraine’s use of French missiles remains “an option”.
Russia launched more than 100 drones at Ukraine overnight on Thursday and early on Friday, killing one person and injuring eight others, officials said. A drone attack killed a woman in the southern city of Kherson, said the head of the local military administration, Roman Mrochko. A drone attack on the southern region of Odesa damaged 13 residential buildings and injured seven people, the national police said. Fragments from downed Russian drones struck buildings in two Kyiv districts and injured one person, officials said.
At least two Ukrainian regions suffered power cuts on Friday, electricity operator Ukrenergo said. Local media reported 70% of customers in Mykolaiv and the surrounding region had been without electricity for a second day as a result of Russian attacks on energy infrastructure.
Moscow said on Friday its forces had seized the village of Rozdolne in the southern part of Ukraine’s Donbas region, where it has made a string of territorial gains in recent months.
Russia downed 47 attack drones fired by Ukraine overnight to Friday, mainly targeting the Rostov border region, where a major fire broke out at an industrial site, authorities said. Ukraine’s military said it struck the region’s Atlas oil depot, causing a fire. Ukraine also struck a radar station for a Russian Buk air defence system in Ukraine’s southern Zaporizhzhia region, the military said.
Russia has sentenced Alexei Gorinov, the first person to be convicted for speaking out against Moscow’s military offensive in Ukraine, to another three years in prison in a second trial. The 63-year-old is already serving a seven-year sentence after a conviction in 2022. He wore a paper badge with a peace sign drawn on it as a court in Vladimir, east of Moscow, handed him the new sentence on charges of “justifying terrorism” on Friday, the Medizazona website reported.
Russian authorities returned more than 500 bodies of Ukrainian soldiers killed in combat, with most having died in the eastern Donetsk region, Ukraine said on Friday. Russia, for its part, does not announce the return of its bodies.
What were you hoping for? A lovely dinner and a good chat with someone new, and to experience the craziness of having a very public blind date.
First impressions? Friendly, open, attractive, smiley.
What did you talk about? Bears, brown and polar, and how to avoid being eaten by them. Tattoos. Walking speed relative to Google Maps predictions. We both started a lot of topics with âdonât tell anyone this but â¦â
Most awkward moment? I donât remember any.
Good table manners? Perfect. Unlike mine! We shared two starters and he gave me the bigger half of both.
Best thing about Nick? So easy to talk to and a lovely, very genuine guy. A breath of fresh air.
Would you introduce Nick to your friends? Absolutely. Thereâs nothing not to like.
Describe Nick in three words. Considerate, smart and easy-going.
What do you think Nick made of you? I really donât know. Probably includes that Iâm a slow walker and fussy/bossy about selfies.
Did you go on somewhere? The pub we went to was a bit in the middle of nowhere, but we walked back together until our paths diverged.
And ⦠did you kiss? No, but we hugged. The fact that we would have either had to declare that kiss publicly in the paper or pretend we hadnât was also a bit off-putting.
If you could change one thing about the evening what would it be? Maybe a little more spark between us.
Marks out of 10? Feels so wrong to rate people. So, rating the date, not the person, I would say 8.
Would you meet again? Sure, as friends. I donât think we were each otherâs type, but who knows?
Nick on Katy
What were you hoping for? To get to know someone interesting â and I did.
First impressions? Good hug. Well dressed without trying too hard. Nice, open, friendly smile.
What did you talk about? Adventures: Katy has trekked in the Congo, and Iâm looking forward to hearing about how her upcoming Arctic wild camping trip goes. Festivals, music, we had quite a lot in common there â Glastonbury stories. Mischief and whatnot. We talked about working in Africa a bit. Katy does amazing work with refugees and trauma.
Most awkward moment? When we saw our selfies, she said: âYouâre not photogenic.â OK, I guess the camera never lies!
Good table manners? Katyâs parents can be proud.
Best thing about Katy? Sheâs an appreciative listener, which IÂ really value.
Would you introduce Katy to your friends? For sure.
Describe Katy in three words. Adventurous, caring and active.
What do you think Katy made of you? Iâd hope she thought I was interesting, fun and a bit different.
Did you go on somewhere? We walked down the road a bit, but on our ways home. Sorry, no juicy gossip.
And ⦠did you kiss? Hugs, yes. Kiss, no. Katy is a good hugger, none of this air-hug, spongy blancmange stuff.
If you could change one thing about the evening what would it be? A bit of romantic flirting chemistry.
Marks out of 10? 7.8.
Would you meet again? Sure, it would be nice to hear and make more stories.
Katy and Nick ate at the Bull and Last, London NW5. Fancy a blind date? Email [email protected]
Sniffer dogs are usually found looking for contraband at airports and train stations, but the UK government is now dispatching trained hounds to find forest-harming pests.
A dog has been used for the first time in the UK to successfully identify tree disease. Researchers from Forest Research used a trained spanador – a cocker spaniel labrador cross – to find the tree pathogen Phytophthoraramorum.
Six-year-old Ivor the dog achieved a 89% successful first-time detection rate of the pest. This is an important finding as the disease is a menace to UK forests; spread by rain, the fungal-like organism causes the death of a wide range of trees and shrubs and has led to thousands of hectares of felling around the UK.
Dr Heather Dun, a pathologist at Forest Research, said: “The results from the trials have been incredibly encouraging, with a first-time 89% detection rate highlighting the huge potential of dogs in our fight against pests and diseases.”
“Biosecurity is incredibly important and detection dogs like Ivor are an exciting new method for helping to protect our trees.”
Researchers trained Ivor in scent recognition so he could pick up the smell of the pathogen. In the first round he successfully identified Phytophthoraramorumin soil, plant material and sterile distilled water. He was then trained to distinguish Phytophthoraramorum from the scent of other Phytophthora species often found in the same environments.
Sniffer dogs have been used previously to hunt for insects. In 2012, a team of detection dogs from the Austrian plant health inspectorate were used to track down the Asian longhorn beetle pest during an outbreak in Paddock Wood, Kent.
Forest Research will now explore using detection dogs to combat other pests and diseases as there have been a number of successful trials. They plan to trial dogs to seek out the eight-toothed spruce bark beetle.
The UK’s chief plant health officer, Prof Nicola Spence, said: “This groundbreaking research using detection dogs to identify Phytophthoraramorum, alongside other innovative approaches to tackle pests and diseases, will play a key role in maintaining biosecurity to meet the vision set out in our world-leading plant biosecurity strategy.”
Itâs one damned thing after another. As Keir Starmer is discovering, government, like life, can feel like a fusillade of events, each coming faster than the one before. If itâs not a cabinet minister resigning over a past fraud conviction, itâs MPs voting for assisted dying â and thatâs just in one day. Through that blizzard of news, it can be hard to make out the lasting changes in the landscape â even those that have profound implications for our place in the world.
The November 2024 event that will have the most enduring global impact is the election of Donald Trump. There are some in the higher reaches of the UK government who are surprisingly relaxed about that fact, reassuring themselves that, in effect, we got through it once, weâll get through it again. Yes, they admit, Trump has nominated some crazy people to lead in areas crucial to the UK-US relationship, such as defence and intelligence, but donât worry, officials in London will do what they did last time: work with like-minded counterparts in the Washington bureaucracy to bypass the Trump loyalists at the top.
Whether thatâs complacency or naivety, itâs a mistake. This is not like last time. As Mark Leonard, director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, put it to me: âTrump is different and the world is different.â During his first term, Trump was hemmed in by the establishment types he had appointed to key jobs. Now he will be unbound. Back then, there was no war in Europe, China was relatively cooperative and Britain was still in the EU. Thatâs all changed now.
Consider what Trumpism, if implemented, means for the world. It would dismantle the post-1945 order, underpinned for eight decades by the US. In that period, the US acted as both guarantor for a system of global trade and defensive umbrella for the western alliance, with Britain and Europe the obvious beneficiaries. Playing that role came at a cost for the US, but successive presidents believed it was worth it, because a stable world was one in which the US could prosper.
Trump marks a radical break from that thinking. He believes those previous US presidents were suckers, ripped off by allies taking a free ride at US expense. He denies the US has any greater responsibilities than any other country: it should sacrifice nothing, looking out instead solely for itself. Heâs happy for the US to be No 1 in the world, but not the worldâs leader. The two are different. Like the slogan says: itâs âAmerica firstâ.
For China, Russia, the Gulf states, Brazil and others there is some relief at that: they relish a future without a scolding Washington sticking its nose into their business. But for Europe, including Britain, itâs a disaster. In terms of both defence and the economy, our societies are predicated on a US-led world that will soon no longer exist.
The impact will be felt most sharply in Ukraine, which is weeks away from seeing US support fall away. Leonard fears a âYalta-type settlement sealed by Trump and Vladimir Putin over the heads of European countriesâ, one that will reward Putinâs aggression and leave him emboldened. That leaves more than the likes of Moldova and the Baltic states feeling vulnerable. As the Guardian reported today, âGermany is developing an app to help people locate the nearest bunker in the event of attack. Sweden is distributing a 32-page pamphlet titled If Crisis or War Comes. Half a million Finns have already downloaded an emergency preparedness guide.â Berlin is taking steps to get the German public kriegstüchtig:war-capable.
On the continent, itâs become an urgent question: can Europe defend itself either without America or, at best, with less America? European defence spending is up and there is talk of shifting the industrial base, repurposing factories, to allow for a fast and massive, Europe-wide programme of rearmament. Our nearest neighbours understand that if the US president no longer believes in the core Nato principle of mutual defence â one for all and all for one â then, at the very least, Natoâs US pillar is gone. If Nato is to survive, the EU pillar will have to bear much of the weight alone.
Itâs not clear that this penny has quite dropped in London. And remember there is a double threat here. Trump also plans to protect US domestic industry by slapping tariffs on imports from the rest of the world. China is likely to be hardest hit, with a 60% charge, but Trump wants a âuniversalâ tariff of up to 20% on all goods coming into the US â including from Britain. For a trading nation such as the UK, that spells calamity.
What, then, can be done? On defence, Britain can vow to spend more and increase military cooperation with European allies. Fine, as far as it goes. But in the face of a trade war, Britain alone would be all but impotent against the might of the US. There is only one nearby market that is of comparable heft to the US, whose threats to retaliate against US tariffs would have a deterrent effect, a body, incidentally, that happens to be a virtuoso in the realm of trade and trade disputes. I am speaking of course of the European Union.
Whatâs more, these two spheres, military and economic, are no longer as distinct as they once were. When states confront each other, they no longer do it solely through bombs and bullets. Everything else gets weaponised too, whether itâs the financial system through sanctions, the supply of energy or food or technology. Witness Russiaâs war against Ukraine. As it happens, these are all areas where the EUâs particular brand of cooperation can help. So when Russia moved to choke off the gas supply to individual European countries, the EU was able to step in and connect what were previously separate energy grids, thereby thwarting that threat.
The point is, the landscape of 2016 â that fateful year â no longer exists. Plenty of Brexiters believed, in good faith, that a buccaneering, free-trading Britain could thrive in a world of open borders. But that world has gone now, replaced by one of war, barriers and Darwinian competition. Whatever case you could make for Britain being out of the EU in the Obama era of 2016 makes no sense now.
I donât expect Starmer to announce a plan to rejoin the EU tomorrow. But itâs time for outriders to start riding out. Labour MPs, perhaps the odd minister, can begin to make the case that is becoming increasingly obvious to many millions of Britons. The polls are saying it, the governor of the Bank of England is saying it. And when immigration levels are four times higher now than when we were in the EU, the issue that served as the Brexitersâ trump card lies in shreds. One by one, the premises of Britainâs 2016 decision are crumbling.
I understand the political calculus that made Labour believe Brexit was an issue best avoided. But the reality around us is changing and politicians, governments especially, have to adapt to it. In the age of Trump, when the US is no longer the predictable guarantor it once was, Britain cannot thrive alone and in the cold. Itâs not ideology or idealism, but hard-headed, practical common sense to say our place is in Europe â and to say so now.